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The High Definition DVD Studio Support Petition Campaign

From the Frontline: News & Commentary on the "format war"

February 20th , 2007

Commentary - Is the fatal flaw in Bluray actually Sony? (The Re-dux Edition)

(editor's note: I can see the letters coming in now - so let me state up front that I do not hate Sony, in fact I own and love many of their products. But I have misgivings about the Bluray format for a variety of reasons and I feel that TRUST is an issue that concerns me and others, with regard to future intentions for the format. I also consider HD DVD to be a more consumer-friendly disc format. I realize that this opinion piece will be rather unpalatable reading for some, but so be it. However, if you think I have made any factual errors in this piece, please feel free to contact me at the email on this page to let me know. Now, let's continue...)

This piece is a re-do of the original commentary which went live on January 2nd, 2007. Rather than forcus on the details of the various, somewhat embarassing business activities or blunders which have concerned some Sony-watchers, we place more emphasis on the speculation that the BD-J software and the BD+ "digital rights management" system used by Bluray could actually be used to implement a modern day version of the DIVX "own to rent" model.

Well, we've been running this Studio Petition for just a few months, now, and launched our website on October 6th, 2006. Yet we've learnt so much in such a short space of time - mostly due to looking at the feedback and profile of the scores of HD DVD supporters who have registered on this petition.

From a somewhat amusing standpoint, we notice some "celebrities" in our midst, most likely as the result of some supporters who didn't want to use their real name (but still used a real email, which is what really counts). We see names like Pamela Anderson, the late President Ronald Reagan and, not to be outdone, President Bill Clinton. Even big names from Sony are showing up, such as Ken Kutaragi (yes, we're pretty sure it's not really him).

But all kidding aside, we've also noticed something that we never really expected - a very significant amount of resentment towards Sony, which we now think we are starting to understand. This commentary opinion piece I have written here was inspired by an article I read which asked whether Sony was the "fatal flaw" in Bluray. Some people ask us "Why are you anti-Sony?" or "Is your petition site another Sony-hater site". The answers to those questions are "we're not" and "it's not". I proudly own a LOT of Sony products, which I like very much, so I don't "hate" Sony - BUT I do not like Bluray, as I sincerely feel that HD DVD is more consumer-friendly.

Sure, there has been lots of talk about the poor showing of Bluray in the market, and Bluray even made the "Top Ten Technology Disappointments of 2006" list, and the PS3 made TIME magazine's "Buzz to Bust" list. But we have also noticed that there appears to be a surprisingly high level of distrust of Sony by consumers outside of this petition. This has been noticed by others, also. A recent report made headlines when it showed how much negative response there was to Sony and Bluray online. It clearly hinted at a latent undertow of distrust in the market that is contributing to the lack of succes of Bluray.

I have re-written this piece to focus much less on Sony, and more on Bluray, so I won't be going into masses of detail about various incidents which have clearly made some folks wary of Sony, but I'll simply list a few of them here, for your perusal:

A quick read of the feedback from so, so many of the HD DVD supporters gives you another idea of why some folks have their doubts about Bluray. Sony has tried repeatedly to establish (some would say "foist") it's own proprietary formats upon electronics consumers over the years. Many times, consumers buy Sony products to find themselves "locked in" to some unpalatable format or other. I am one of these people. This certainly may have created some irritation, but people went about their lives knowing that at least they still had other choices, even if it meant buying additional equipment. Cases in point include the foisting of Memory Sticks in almost every Sony product, typically to the exclusion of more accepted formats, such as Compact Flash and SD cards. Other Sony attempts have included the UMD disc, MLP disc and, dare I mention it, Betamax. Because these were proprietary formats, they almost always were more expensive and offered lower performance. I've always hated the Memory Stick, because they were THE slowest and most expensive options on the market, but I had to keep a couple around just to live with my Sony equipment - therefore guaranteeing some extra sales to Sony, I suppose. They've improved in performance over time, but are still often twice the price of other options.

So what does this all have to do with Bluray? Well, it seems that a lot of people are wondering what Sony will do if they do win the format war and their Bluray disc format becomes the defacto standard. It appears that Sony cannot resist "locking you in", so to speak, to their other products, when you buy any other one. Another case in point is the Playstation 3, which Sony is promoting as a Bluray player. While the HD DVD player for the Xbox ships with a free infrared "Universal Remote Control" that can be used with the Xbox player, and the rest of your existing equjpment, Sony has decided that (apart from the game machine's joystick) you will only be able to control the PS3 with their own controller (which you must buy separately). And to help ensure this, it seems they have made the PS3 only controllable by "Bluetooth", for which they have just started shipping a Bluetooth controller. Given that infrared is the near-universal standard for remote controls, is it more likely that Sony has done this to ensure they get additional revenue from their buyers, or is it simply that they like the tie-in of "Bluray" and "Bluetooth"?

Based on my reading of much of the material presented here, both above, and below, my interpretation is that Sony sees your favourite Sony Music and Sony Movies as a way to lock you into Sony Hardware. And they see Sony Hardware as a way to lock you in to Sony Formats. Of course my interpretation and opinion may not be shared by everyone, but I'm pretty sure that it is shared by many all the same.

But what would REALLY happen if Bluray became the dominant format in this "war"? Why are some people worried about what would actually happen if Sony got it's format to be the dominant standard this time around. Let's speculate a bit, based on what tidbits have surfaced so far.

Perhaps at the heart of this concern are a few things that we just don't know yet about Bluray, items which seem a bit shrouded in mystery:

Imagine that one day Bluray became the standard, and you bought a Bluray movie. Imagine that the disc retailed for $10 instead of $30, but that you only had the right to watch it for 48 hours, then you had to connect your Bluray player online to buy any further viewings? Is it doable? Based on the little we've heard about BD+, the answer seems to be YES. Is it planned? Who knows... But this is what worries me about Sony's past format behaviour and their attempts to rule the next home video standard.

One news item that seems to lend credence to this theory has mostly been forgotten already. The "Paper Blu-Ray Disc". While some PR information talked of "another benefit" being the "ease of disposal" for security purposes, we really WONDER about the true intentions behind an otherwise seemingly pointless invention. We feel that the only real purpose for a disposable bluray disc is for a rental market, similar to DIVX. Says this article here, "the companies are aiming to produce lower-cost discs", which would seem to be an attractive feature for a disposal rental disc.

If my fears about BD+ are true, then I would highlight the following very relevant quote from the DIVX story linked above - if my fears are true, then you can simply replace the word "DIVX" with "Bluray" as you read it: "Hollywood studios hate home video because they don't make any money from it after the initial sell-through of a tape or disc. If Divx is successful, they will have every incentive to stop selling movies in an open format and charge the consumer for each viewing. If Divx is even moderately successful, studios may reserve their most popular titles for Divx, pay-per-view cable/satellite, or a future pay-per-view scheme, and only release less-popular titles in an open format. Consumers who buy Divx players and discs encourage the studios to follow this distribution model, even though the model is demonstrably not in the consumer's interest -- particularly for parents who allow their children to watch Disney films ad infinitum, or for those of you who watch Scream 83 times a year."

Most "standards" become "the standard" based on their price performance in the view of buyers, and their feelings about them (case in point, the iPod). The traditional model of "Competition" has many manufacturers touting various products and the consumer "voting" with their wallet for whichever products they think are best. The Bluray situation is new and unique, in that Sony, along with various other companies, appear to be forcing this next standard upon consumers without offering the consumer the chance to make their own evaluation and choice.

There is plenty of commentary from supporters of our petitions to show that they feel that Sony is trying to force the next standard on buyers by "brute force". Despite the fact that Sony has lined up agreement from many CE manufacturers and certain key studios, it seems that HD DVD has gotten the "nod", the "popular vote", the "love", if you will... and HD DVD continues to outsell Bluray handily.

Something to think about, then?

Here's a quotation from a Wikipedia article that really sums up some of my concerns with Sony and their formats: "In August, 2000, statements by Sony Pictures Entertainment US senior VP Steve Heckler foreshadowed the events of late 2005. Heckler told attendees at the Americas Conference on Information Systems 'The industry will take whatever steps it needs to protect itself and protect its revenue streams...It will not lose that revenue stream, no matter what...Sony is going to take aggressive steps to stop this. We will develop technology that transcends the individual user. We will firewall Napster at source - we will block it at your cable company, we will block it at your phone company, we will block it at your [ISP]. We will firewall it at your PC...These strategies are being aggressively pursued because there is simply too much at stake.' "

Adios, for now... we'll see where else this takes us...

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***Late Information: I received communication from a visitor to the site today. He mentioned a patent (number 6,816,972) which Sony had filed in 2000, registering a technology to prevent owners of "Software Discs" from selling them on or lending them to friends. When the story broke online, Sony denied that they intended to actually use the technology in relation to the PS3, but an LA Times story doubted they had registered the patent just to be nice... Our friend wonders if it might be used for Bluray movies down the road...

Also, in relation to my Commentary on 1st Gen Bluray players potentially being obsolete before they are brought home, he cites some information that suggests that this is already having an impact. Apparently, the new Bluray movie, "Descent", won't play on some Bluray players, including Sony's own BDSP1, due to Java incompatibilities.

Recent News and Links

Other Articles and Online Discussions

Home Theater Blog - "HD DVD vs. Bluray: Fact vs. Fiction"

One of AVS Forum's biggest Bluray fans, converts to HD DVD...

Projector Central - "Bluray: Can it survive?"

Home Theater Forum: "Reasonable cost of upgrading to HD DVD absolutely worth it"

AVS Forum - "Home Theater Mag gives the Toshiba a 98!"

Engadget HD - "Why HD DVD will prevail: My opinion 3 months later"

Projector Central - recommendation on the formats

Digital Media Thoughts - "At Last: A True Bluray vs. HD DVD Comparison"

Playfuls.com - "Playstation 3 - the killer Iceberg. Sony - the Titanic"

News Stories in the Press

Silicon Valley - "Sony mulls recall of exploding fact sheet" - Sony caught in sales lie

Engadget - "Sony claims Xbox 360 requires etc, etc., thus costs $700"

International Herald Tribune - "EU's DVD inquiry goes to Hollywood"

Reuters - "Sony Hits Stumbling Blocks on Road to recovery"

IT Wire - "Universal Studios deals Bluray death-blow"

Tom's Hardware - "Will Bluray sink the PS3?"

Video Business - "HD DVD owners petition Bluray backers" - :)

Ultimate AV - Joe Kane (Digital Video Essentials) talks about Mpeg2 and VC1

BBC - "LOTR Director Jackson signs Xbox deal"

Video Interview of Joe Kane on the Battle of the Formats

Polls and Surveys

98% of HD owners on AV Forums went with HD DVD

91% of HD DVD player buyers happy with purchase

75% of Bluray Player buyers RETURNED the player!

86% of buyers of First Gen Hi Def players will buy HD DVD

85% Support for Studio petitions - the birth of this petition Drive

69% of respondents feel that HD DVD will "win" format war

92% say HD DVD will dominate Bluray this Christmas

83% say that Toshiba A1/XA1 HD DVD players beats their old player at upscaling

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Older Commentary:
The Impact of Dual-Format Players
Are Bluray players Obsolete?
Is Sony the Fatal Flaw in Bluray?
"Muslix" - HD Hacker or Saboteur?
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A few Testimonials:

William - "Nothing but good things to say about HD-DVD. Keep the movies coming!"

Alesha - "I love HD DVD, they need more studio support! Plus Blue-ray is way over priced, nobody wants to pay $1000 for a dvd player!"

Terry - "HD DVD is growing much faster than Blu-Ray. Release your films, and I will purchase."

Tony - "HD-DVD gives us a realistic - reliable affordable way to enjoy movies in HD... Give us full support! Thank you."

Steven - "I own the Toshiba HD DVD player XA1 and it is amazing.I work part-time at Circuit -City (2 years) and it is a significantly better picture than the Samsung Blu-Ray player."

Eric - "Blue-Ray didn't deliver what it promised and HD-DVD has delivered in every area it was supposed to. In practice it's the better, more stable format."

Mischa - "Don't withold those great titles, bring them at least to both formats. Let the consumer decide!"

Dan - "I've compared both versions, and quality is better than blu-ray. But what appeals to me is how much more affordable it is.."

Nolan - "I am a large consumer of movie software and would love to increase my library with tittles on HD DVD. Please release tittles and let the consumer decide which format should win."

Charity - "Please end this now. Look at the sales numbers.The consumer has clearly sided with HD DVD."

Tom - "Its the only way forward. It Works..."


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Copyright 2006, 2007 Edward Downer. The opinions expressed on this site are those of its creators. We hope that you'll enjoy these pages! - Edward.